St. Thomas
W-L: (12-23) PR = 96.2223Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 920 A Post WHA (11-28, 92.3) 7- 0 921 A Post WHA (11-28, 92.3) 6- 1 926 A Lindenwood L (15-22, 94.8) 4- 3 927 A Lindenwood L (15-22, 94.8) 2- 1 1010 A Minnesota State HA (18-19, 96.6) 2- 1 1011 A Minnesota State HA (18-19, 96.6) 0- 3 1017 A St. Cloud State HA (11-24, 96.6) 3- 4 1018 A St. Cloud State HA (11-24, 96.6) 4- 3 1024 H Providence (12-25, 94.0) 6- 7 1025 H Providence (12-25, 94.0) 5- 1 1031 H Ohio State HA (35- 4, 99.9) 2- 3 1101 H Ohio State HA (35- 4, 99.9) 0- 8 1107 A Bemidji State HA ( 7-25, 95.1) 5- 0 1108 A Bemidji State HA ( 7-25, 95.1) 1- 2 1114 H Minnesota Duluth HA (21-13, 97.7) 1- 3 1115 H Minnesota Duluth HA (21-13, 97.7) 2- 4 1120 A Wisconsin HA (30- 6, 99.8) 0- 8 1121 A Wisconsin HA (30- 6, 99.8) 3- 4 1205 H Minnesota HA (24-12, 98.4) 3- 5 1206 A Minnesota HA (24-12, 98.4) 1- 4 109 H Bemidji State HA ( 7-25, 95.1) 2- 1 110 H Bemidji State HA ( 7-25, 95.1) 4- 1 116 H Wisconsin HA (30- 6, 99.8) 1- 5 117 H Wisconsin HA (30- 6, 99.8) 1- 5 123 A Ohio State HA (35- 4, 99.9) 1- 2 124 A Ohio State HA (35- 4, 99.9) 0- 5 130 H St. Cloud State HA (11-24, 96.6) 3- 2 131 H St. Cloud State HA (11-24, 96.6) 3- 2 206 H Minnesota HA (24-12, 98.4) 1- 4 207 A Minnesota HA (24-12, 98.4) 1- 1 213 A Minnesota Duluth HA (21-13, 97.7) 0- 3 214 A Minnesota Duluth HA (21-13, 97.7) 0- 3 220 H Minnesota State HA (18-19, 96.6) 2- 5 221 H Minnesota State HA (18-19, 96.6) 3- 4 227 A Ohio State HA (35- 4, 99.9) 1- 5 228 A Ohio State HA (35- 4, 99.9) 1- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
920 A Post 7- 0 7 4 + 3.49
921 A Post 6- 1 5 4 1.49
926 A Lindenwood 4- 3 1 1 -0.05
927 A Lindenwood 2- 1 1 1 -0.05
1010 A Minnesota State 2- 1 1 -1 1.79
1011 A Minnesota State 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.21
1017 A St. Cloud State 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.25
1018 A St. Cloud State 4- 3 1 -1 1.75
1024 H Providence 6- 7 -1 3 - -3.62
1025 H Providence 5- 1 4 3 1.38
1031 H Ohio State 2- 3 -1 -3 + 2.29
1101 H Ohio State 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -4.71
1107 A Bemidji State 5- 0 5 1 ++ 4.26
1108 A Bemidji State 1- 2 -1 1 -1.74
1114 H Minnesota Duluth 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.86
1115 H Minnesota Duluth 2- 4 -2 -1 -0.86
1120 A Wisconsin 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.04
1121 A Wisconsin 3- 4 -1 -4 + 2.96
1205 H Minnesota 3- 5 -2 -2 -0.25
1206 A Minnesota 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.47
109 H Bemidji State 2- 1 1 2 -0.52
110 H Bemidji State 4- 1 3 2 1.48
116 H Wisconsin 1- 5 -4 -3 -0.81
117 H Wisconsin 1- 5 -4 -3 -0.81
123 A Ohio State 1- 2 -1 -4 + 3.06
124 A Ohio State 0- 5 -5 -4 -0.94
130 H St. Cloud State 3- 2 1 0 0.97
131 H St. Cloud State 3- 2 1 0 0.97
206 H Minnesota 1- 4 -3 -2 -1.25
207 A Minnesota 1- 1 0 -3 + 2.53
213 A Minnesota Duluth 0- 3 -3 -2 -1.09
214 A Minnesota Duluth 0- 3 -3 -2 -1.09
220 H Minnesota State 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.98
221 H Minnesota State 3- 4 -1 0 -0.98
227 A Ohio State 1- 5 -4 -4 0.06
228 A Ohio State 1- 4 -3 -4 1.06
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1101 H Ohio State 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -4.71 1120 A Wisconsin 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.04 1011 A Minnesota State 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.21 1024 H Providence 6- 7 -1 3 - -3.62 220 H Minnesota State 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.98 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 A Bemidji State 5- 0 5 1 ++ 4.26 920 A Post 7- 0 7 4 + 3.49 1031 H Ohio State 2- 3 -1 -3 + 2.29 1121 A Wisconsin 3- 4 -1 -4 + 2.96 123 A Ohio State 1- 2 -1 -4 + 3.06 207 A Minnesota 1- 1 0 -3 + 2.53 |
St. Thomas Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | St. Thomas | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St. Thomas | |
| Lindenwood | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Mercyhurst | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| Penn State | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| RIT | St. Thomas | St. Thomas 3- 2 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Robert Morris | St. Thomas | St. Thomas 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Syracuse | St. Thomas | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| Brown | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| Clarkson | Clarkson | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Clarkson | |
| Colgate | St. Thomas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell | ||
| Dartmouth | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| Harvard | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | St. Thomas | |
| Princeton | Princeton | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Princeton | |
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) | Quinnipiac | |
| RPI | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| St. Lawrence | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Union | St. Thomas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| Yale | Yale | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) | Yale | |
| Boston College | St. Thomas | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | St. Thomas | |
| Boston University | St. Thomas | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | St. Thomas | |
| Connecticut | St. Thomas | St. Thomas 2- 2 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Holy Cross | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) | St. Thomas | |
| Maine | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | St. Thomas | |
| Merrimack | St. Thomas | St. Thomas 3- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| New Hampshire | St. Thomas | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | St. Thomas | |
| Northeastern | Northeastern | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Northeastern | |
| Providence | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | St. Thomas | |
| Vermont | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| Assumption | St. Thomas | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St. Thomas | |
| Franklin Pierce | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) | St. Thomas | |
| LIU | St. Thomas | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St. Thomas | |
| Post | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Sacred Heart | St. Thomas | St. Thomas 3- 3 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Saint Anselm | St. Thomas | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St. Thomas | |
| St.Michael's | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Stonehill | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) | St. Thomas | |
| Bemidji State | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Minnesota | Minnesota | Minnesota | ||
| Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | Minnesota Duluth | ||
| Minnesota State | Minnesota State | Minnesota State | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| St. Cloud State | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | Wisconsin |
PowerWise = 32
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.18
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Post (11-28, 92.3) 7- 0 -7.57 1.00 0.39 1.00 2.79
0 A Post (11-28, 92.3) 6- 1 -7.57 1.00 0.39 1.00 2.79
0 A Lindenwood (15-22, 94.8) 4- 3 -5.11 2.82 0.39 1.00 6.44
0 A Lindenwood (15-22, 94.8) 2- 1 -5.11 2.82 0.39 1.00 6.44
0 A Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 2- 1 -3.27 4.66 0.39 1.00 10.14
0 A Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 0- 3 -3.27 4.66 0.39 1.00 -1.45
0 A St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.6) 3- 4 -3.32 4.61 0.39 1.00 -1.47
0 A St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.6) 4- 3 -3.32 4.61 0.39 1.00 10.05
0 H Providence (12-25, 94.0) 6- 7 -5.91 2.02 -0.39 1.00 -3.17
0 H Providence (12-25, 94.0) 5- 1 -5.91 2.02 -0.39 1.00 3.28
0 H Ohio State (35- 4, 99.9) 2- 3 -0.00 7.93 -0.39 1.00 -0.19
0 H Ohio State (35- 4, 99.9) 0- 8 -0.00 7.93 -0.39 1.00 -0.19
0 A Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.1) 5- 0 -4.81 3.12 0.39 1.00 7.05
0 A Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.1) 1- 2 -4.81 3.12 0.39 1.00 -2.22
0 H Minnesota Dulu (21-13, 97.7) 1- 3 -2.15 5.78 -0.39 1.00 -1.27
0 H Minnesota Dulu (21-13, 97.7) 2- 4 -2.15 5.78 -0.39 1.00 -1.27
0 A Wisconsin (30- 6, 99.8) 0- 8 -0.10 7.83 0.39 1.00 -0.14
0 A Wisconsin (30- 6, 99.8) 3- 4 -0.10 7.83 0.39 1.00 -0.14
0 H Minnesota (24-12, 98.4) 3- 5 -1.54 6.40 -0.39 1.00 -0.97
0 A Minnesota (24-12, 98.4) 1- 4 -1.54 6.40 0.39 1.00 -0.58
0 H Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.1) 2- 1 -4.81 3.12 -0.39 1.00 5.50
0 H Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.1) 4- 1 -4.81 3.12 -0.39 1.00 5.50
0 H Wisconsin (30- 6, 99.8) 1- 5 -0.10 7.83 -0.39 1.00 -0.24
0 H Wisconsin (30- 6, 99.8) 1- 5 -0.10 7.83 -0.39 1.00 -0.24
0 A Ohio State (35- 4, 99.9) 1- 2 -0.00 7.93 0.39 1.00 -0.19
0 A Ohio State (35- 4, 99.9) 0- 5 -0.00 7.93 0.39 1.00 -0.19
0 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.6) 3- 2 -3.32 4.61 -0.39 1.00 8.50
0 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.6) 3- 2 -3.32 4.61 -0.39 1.00 8.50
0 H Minnesota (24-12, 98.4) 1- 4 -1.54 6.40 -0.39 1.00 -0.97
0 A Minnesota (24-12, 98.4) 1- 1 -1.54 6.40 0.39 1.00 203.43
0 A Minnesota Dulu (21-13, 97.7) 0- 3 -2.15 5.78 0.39 1.00 -0.89
0 A Minnesota Dulu (21-13, 97.7) 0- 3 -2.15 5.78 0.39 1.00 -0.89
0 H Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 2- 5 -3.27 4.66 -0.39 1.00 -1.84
0 H Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 3- 4 -3.27 4.66 -0.39 1.00 -1.84
0 A Ohio State (35- 4, 99.9) 1- 5 -0.00 7.93 0.39 1.00 -0.19
0 A Ohio State (35- 4, 99.9) 1- 4 -0.00 7.93 0.39 1.00 -0.19
------
259.66
|
winning pts = 76.9860 losing points = -20.7610
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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